Glossary / Relative performance

Sector rotation

Sector rotation describes a shift in which parts of the market are moving most, as capital concentrates in some sectors and thins out of others over weeks or months. It is an observation about the dispersion of returns across sectors, not a schedule.

How it is measured

How is sector rotation measured?

Compute each sector's return over a rolling window — usually via a sector index or a sector ETF — and rank them. Rotation is visible as a change in that ranking over time, and as a widening or narrowing of the gap between the top and bottom of it. There is no single agreed window, so the picture depends on the one chosen.

Why it matters

Why does sector rotation matter to a swing trader?

Sector membership explains a large share of any individual security's movement, so knowing which sectors have been moving separates company-specific behaviour from a sector-wide move that lifts or drags every name in it. The caution worth stating: rotation is identified after it is under way. A ranking of the last quarter is a description of the last quarter, and the popular idea that sectors rotate in a fixed order through an economic cycle is a stylised model, not a measured regularity.

In Tapeline

Does Tapeline use sector rotation?

Tapeline groups the scored stocks by sector in its public stock directory.